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Stacy Mieyal
Higgins
August 2007
National Report - Private-equity managers increase
interest in lodging solidifies the industry's status as a viable
investment class, according to industry experts.
The most recent (and most expensive) example is The
Blackstone Group's planned acquisition of Hilton Hotels Corp.
for an estimated $26 billion. Other publicly held hospitality
companies that recently have taken the private plunge: Four
Seasons Hotels and Resorts, MeriStar Hospitality, Innkeepers USA
Trust, Eagle Hospitality Properties Trust, Harrah's
Entertainment, Winston Hotels and Highland Hospitality.
"[Hilton] is but yet the most recent example of sophisticated
bets being placed on the lodging industry," said Mark Woodworth,
executive v.p., RFK Hospitality Research. "Fundamentally so much
more is understood on what drives performance and the factors in
profitability. The level of sophistication of better managers
and more capital sources that have historically shied away have
become increasingly comfortable. And that is extremely good for
all participants. There is more investment, and debt capital is
more available than we have seen before."
Private
equity is considered smart money, according to Jack Corgel, the
Robert C. Baker professor of real estate at Cornell University's
School of Hospitality Administration.
"When private equity makes these kinds of investments in
terms of dollar and breadth, it means there were inefficiencies
that could be exploited." he said.
Daniel Lesser, senior managing director-industry leader act
CB Richard Ellis, said the sector has become more mainstream due
in part to the transparency of data. "People see that they don't
have to be hotel operators; a lot of it is financial
engineering," he said.
And while there still will be cyclical changes, mainstream
magic of lodging might take away some of the "manic highs and
lows" and provide superior risk-adjusted returns, Lesser said.
Jay Witzel, president and c.e.o., Carlson Hotels Worldwide,
said the lodging industry is maturing.
"It's beginning to be ruled by a few dominant players,' he
said. " There are a lot of brands being introduced and those are
two signs of maturity."
Although private-equity investment is not new to lodging,
it's different this time, according to Steve Porter, president,
the Americas, global leader of franchise strategy and an
executive director, Intercontinental Hotel Group.
"Private equity traditionally looked at conglomerates to
break up and create value, " he said. "They then moved on to
companies that have real-estate with a view to selling the
property before exiting. Property deals are now drying up and
the Hilton deal suggest that they may now look at companies with
clear brand potential."
The global aspect becomes critical, said Kapila K. Anand,
partner and national director, real estate and hospitality
advisory services at KPMG LLP,
"So far, private equity companies looking at hospitality are
primarily looking at brand and real-estate," she said. "If they
are going to buy brand that doesn't have reap-estate, then it's
got to be its global reach."
Corgel said public ownership could be falling out of favor.
"The real question is, are we systematically seeing
unraveling of public ownership? We'll probably know more in five
years,: he said. "Valuations are favorable to private. The costs
of Sarbanes Oxley, public company restriction on the amount of
debt taken on, being able to raise the debt levels and do it at
an effective cost has been another big push for private equity
investment."
Corgel said he wouldn't be surprised if more companies went
private.
And while private companies aren't subject to Sarbanes-Oxley
Act regulations, many operate with fiscal diligence.
"[Carlson] doesn't have to disclose earnings or earnings per
share, but the methodology of how we account ... is all in place
anyway," Witzel said.
Theoretically , Woodworth said, the level of access to
information decreases, but private companies still share
performance metrics with Smith Travel Research and PKF and they
still will analyze the data to create insights.
"I sense that there is a significant number of private firms
that behave and account for their activities that aren't
dissimilar from how public firms have to do it," he said. "And
they practice that philosophy thinking they might go public
someday."
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